Monday, December 29, 2025

Smart US retirees know exactly when their 401(k) is big enough to retire early. Are you already there?

Most retirement planning is centered on general assumptions and rules of thumb.

For instance, a typical plan assumes you will retire at 62, which is the average retirement age according to MassMutual’s 2024 Retirement Happiness Study (1), draw down 4% a year from your portfolio, based on the golden rule developed by William Bengen, and have at least eight-10 times your annual salary saved up by the time you’re ready to quit work, according to Vanguard. (2)

But if you’re one of the 18% of Americans who would like to retire before the age of 55, based on YouGov’s polling (3), these conventional rules don’t apply to you.

In fact, some of them could actually be destructive for your financial stability in retirement. Here’s why.

Given that the life expectancy of a typical U.S. adult is 78.4 years, according to the CDC (4), the average retirement age of 62 implies a 16.4-year retirement.

Most conventional financial planning is based on this length of retirement. These plans also assume that you can rely on Social Security benefits because 62 happens to be the earliest age many Americans become eligible for these benefits.

Even Bengen’s 4% rule is based on the assumption of a 30-year retirement.

But if you retire early, perhaps at age 45, and live to the age of 78, your retirement is 33 years. If you retire a few years earlier or live for a few years longer than that, you could be looking at a 40-year plan.

An additional three to 10 years could completely reshape your retirement plan. You may need a bigger nest egg or a more conservative approach to withdrawals. You also need to plug the gap between your retirement age and the age of eligibility for programs like Social Security or Medicare.

With all this in mind, savvy investors may want to ensure that they have a 401(k) that is large and robust enough to withstand 40 years of inflation, market volatility and also bridge their financial needs until government programs become available to them.

Read More: This is the quiet portfolio shift many wealthy investors are making in 2026. Should you consider it too?

Simply put, if you’re retiring early you need to be more disciplined and conservative in your financial planning. Your nest egg needs to be larger and your withdrawal rate needs to be lower.

Let’s take the example of Mia, a middle-aged professional. She’s on track to receive $25,000 a year in Social Security benefits at the age of 62 but estimates that her annual retirement costs could be $75,000 altogether.

If she retires at 62, her calculations suggest she needs a nest egg worth $1.25 million from which she can safely withdraw 4% to plug the $50,000 gap in her spending needs.

However, Mia hates her job and wants to retire early to focus on her hobby of home brewing beer. If she retires at 52, she needs a larger nest egg to deliver $75,000 a year until she’s eligible for Social Security benefits.

Mia is also keenly aware of the inflation and market volatility risk she faces by adding 10 extra years to her retirement, so decides to lower her withdrawal rate to 3.5%, with annual adjustments for inflation.

Based on these assumptions, Mia would need a 401(k) worth $2.14 million to retire comfortably at 52. That’s 71.2% bigger than the nest egg she needs at a typical retirement age.

Working with a professional financial advisor could help Mia further customize this plan. Perhaps a sophisticated strategy like Roth conversion laddering or a simple cut to her annual budget could allow her to retire early with a smaller 401(k). She could also lean on part-time or gig work to bridge her income until Social Security kicks in.

The bottom line is: if you want to retire early, you’ll need a bigger nest egg and a tighter budget. Savvy investors understand this — and plan accordingly.

We rely only on vetted sources and credible third-party reporting. For details, see our editorial ethics and guidelines.

MassMutual (1); Vanguard (2); YouGov (3); National Center for Health Statistics (CDC) (4).

This article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind.

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