Saturday, January 3, 2026

Is Energy Transfer Stock a Buy Now?

Unitholders of Energy Transfer LP (NYSE: ET) couldn’t be blamed for breathing a sigh of relief that 2025 has drawn to a close. The midstream energy leader’s unit price has declined by a double-digit percentage this year, while the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has delivered a third consecutive year of double-digit returns.

But is Energy Transfer stock a buy now? I think the answer is a resounding “yes” for three primary reasons.

Investors haven’t experienced the full brunt of Energy Transfer’s sell-off in 2025. There’s a simple reason why. The limited partnership (LP) pays a distribution yield of roughly 8.2%.

Even better, Energy Transfer’s distribution is growing. The LP announced a distribution increase in each of the first three quarters of 2025. Most recently, it boosted the distribution by 3.1% year-over-year in October.

I expect those distribution hikes to continue. Energy Transfer is targeting annual distribution growth of between 3% and 5%. That goal seems attainable, especially considering the LP boasts the strongest financial position in its history. The debt load shouldn’t be a problem, given Energy Transfer’s leverage ratios, which are in the lower half of its target range of 4.0x to 4.5x.

Energy Transfer’s third-quarter statistics underscore just how well-positioned the midstream company is to keep raising its distributions. Distributable cash flow was roughly $1.89 billion, while distributions to partners were $1.14 billion. That translates to a comfortable distribution coverage ratio of 60%.

Don’t let the disappointing 2025 performance fool you. Energy Transfer continues to have solid long-term growth prospects.

The ongoing data center boom, fueled by the increased adoption of artificial intelligence (AI), is a particularly important growth driver. For example, in recent months, Energy Transfer announced agreements with Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) to supply around 900 million cubic feet per day of natural gas to three of its U.S. data centers. The LP also announced a 10-year deal with Fermi America (NASDAQ: FRMI) to provide gas to its next-generation AI hypergrid campus located near Amarillo, Texas.

The growth opportunities aren’t limited to the U.S. Energy Transfer’s total natural gas liquids (NGL) exports jumped 13% in the third quarter of 2025, setting a new record for the LP.

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