Galaxy Launches OTC Prediction Markets

Galaxy Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: $GLXY) has launched institutional over-the-counter prediction-market trading, giving hedge funds, family offices and other large clients a more private way to trade event contracts at scale. The offering runs through Galaxyโ€™s Global Markets trading desk and is designed to give institutions access to liquidity that is difficult to reach through retail-facing…


Galaxy Launches OTC Prediction Markets

Galaxy Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: $GLXY) has launched institutional over-the-counter prediction-market trading, giving hedge funds, family offices and other large clients a more private way to trade event contracts at scale.

The offering runs through Galaxyโ€™s Global Markets trading desk and is designed to give institutions access to liquidity that is difficult to reach through retail-facing prediction market interfaces. Galaxy said the desk will initially cover non-sports event contracts traded on Kalshi and Polymarket, spanning economic, political, geopolitical and other event-driven markets, with plans to add more platforms over time.

Galaxy is also positioning the product as more than simple event-contract access. The company said it can pair prediction market positions with hedges in equities, commodities and other assets, allowing clients to build broader strategies around a single outcome rather than managing exposures across separate venues.

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The desk has already executed a $10 million trade with Arca, a crypto-native hedge fund, on outcomes tied to the passage of the CLARITY Act. The trade was facilitated bilaterally through Galaxyโ€™s OTC desk and gives the company an early reference point as it tries to bring more block-size activity into a market that has mostly grown through consumer platforms.

Jason Urban, Galaxyโ€™s global co-head of digital assets, said event-driven markets are becoming โ€œcoreโ€ to how sophisticated investors express macro views, adding that the category needs institutional infrastructure to match.

Arca framed the trade around a narrower use case. Chief investment officer Jeff Dorman said prediction markets are one of the most appropriate vehicles for hedging CLARITY-related exposure, but current market liquidity is not always deep enough for larger funds.

Galaxy said it will conduct the activity only with institutional counterparties and evaluate offerings on a jurisdiction-by-jurisdiction basis.

The product adds another institutional trading line for Galaxy as prediction markets become a larger bridge between crypto-native activity, macro hedging and regulated financial infrastructure.

Galaxy Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: GLXY) is currently trading at $30.23 U.S. per share.

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