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Down 19% in 2025, What’s Next for Tesla Stock?

  • ThePostMaster
    By ThePostMaster
  • June 28, 2025
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An image of a Tesla humanoid robot in front of the company logo Around the World Photos via Shutterstock
An image of a Tesla humanoid robot in front of the company logo Around the World Photos via Shutterstock

It’s been a major news week for Tesla (TSLA), starting with the highly anticipated launch of its autonomous vehicle (AV) service in Austin – but also including some significant low points, such as another drop in European sales, and the sudden departure of a key executive. Against this heavy news backdrop, TSLA enters today’s trading up just 1.1% on the week, after a remarkable 8.23% rally on Monday.

www.barchart.com
www.barchart.com

TSLA stock is down 19% on a year-to-date basis, and the shares have collapsed 33% from their mid-December highs – woefully underperforming the broader market. After the stock’s 52% power surge from its April lows, here’s a look at what to expect next.

The launch of Tesla’s robotaxi service in Austin has encountered significant hurdles, with multiple reported traffic violations including speeding and improper lane changes, which has prompted an NHTSA investigation. These safety concerns have emerged at a critical time when Tesla is attempting to transition from a pure electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer to an artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics company, adding complexity to its growth story.

Recent data also shows the company’s European market position has weakened significantly, with May registrations dropping 28% year-over-year. This marks the fifth consecutive month of lower sales for Tesla, despite broader EV market growth.

Separately, reports on Thursday highlighted the departure of key executive Omead Afshar, who played a crucial role in overseeing operations across North America and Europe. Afshar, also a former SpaceX employee, was reportedly fired due to the continued slide in sales.

Outside of Tesla HQ, competition in the global EV market has intensified dramatically, and particularly from Chinese manufacturers. Xiaomi just launched a lower-priced model that directly challenges Tesla’s Model Y, while BYD (BYDDY) has overtaken Tesla as the world’s largest EV manufacturer. The company’s aging vehicle lineup and multiple price cuts have begun to impact vehicle margins, while Cybertruck production appears to be falling short of initial projections.

Despite these challenges, TSLA stock has recovered 54% from its April lows, though it remains 33% below its December peak. The company continues to receive strong institutional support, with Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest increasing its holdings. Additionally, Benchmark has raised its price target to $475, citing long-term autonomous driving potential.

However, the combination of increasing competition, regulatory scrutiny, and high-level internal reorganization suggests the path ahead for Tesla will continue to be volatile. That means TSLA stock is probably best reserved for short-term speculators with a high risk tolerance, or long-term investors with a strong conviction in the company’s autonomous strategy.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. On the date of publication, the editor did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on Barchart.com



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