By Lewis Krauskopf
NEW YORK (Reuters) – -TRADING DAY
Making sense of the forces driving global markets
By Lewis Krauskopf, Markets Reporter
Jamie is enjoying some well-deserved time off, but the Reuters markets team will still keep you up to date on what moved markets today. A long holiday weekend awaits U.S. investors, but not before digesting a heaping portion of economic data and perhaps more developments on fiscal and trade policy. I’d love to hear from you, so please reach out to me with comments at .
Today’s Key Market Moves
* Wall Street was back at record levels, with the S&P 500touching a new all-time high, lifted by tech stocks and news ofa U.S.-Vietnam trade deal * The U.S. dollar gained against major currencies,including the yen * UK assets, such as the pound and British bonds, were hithard amid rising concerns over public finances, after thecountry’s finance minister appeared in tears in parliamentfollowing a series of costly U-turns on welfare reforms * Oil prices jumped as Iran suspended cooperation with theU.N. nuclear watchdog * Gold prices firmed, as weaker-than-expected jobs datafueled hopes of impending rate cuts
Today’s Key Reads
1. Trump touts deal to put 20% tariff on Vietnam’s exports 2. Why are bond vigilantes holding back their fire?:Panizza and Gulati 3. Microsoft to cut about 4% of jobs amid hefty AI bets 4. Emerging market debt sale surge defies global turmoilamid signs of de-dollarisation 5. Foreign investors increase dollar hedges on US stockportfolios
Get ready for the jobs report
U.S. investors have some potentially market-moving developments to chew over before heading out for their July 4 Independence Day gatherings.
Top of mind heading into Thursday is the U.S. employment report for June. Investors may be wary about a disappointment, especially after Wednesday’s weak private payrolls data, which showed a drop for the first time in over two years.
Economists are estimating an increase of 110,000 jobs in U.S. nonfarm payrolls for June, and an unemployment rate of 4.3%. The jobs report will be one of last key economic releases before the Federal Reserve’s next meeting at the end of the month.
A weak jobs report could further fuel expectations for interest rate cuts in coming months. Investors, as indicated by Fed Fund futures, already have been ramping up such bets on the amount of expected easing. September is seen as almost a certainty for the next rate cut, if the central bank does not first ease at the July meeting, which futures suggest is a roughly one-in-four chance.
