Alphabet plans to double capex spending to a possible $185 billion—but it’s keeping CEO Sundar Pichai up at night

Alphabet plans to double capex spending to a possible 5 billion—but it’s keeping CEO Sundar Pichai up at night

Capital expenditures—capex, meaning the big-ticket purchases that fund the data centers, servers, and power infrastructure undergirding the AI race—is fueling record-high, multi-trillion dollar tech valuations when investors think the spending is warranted. But companies get punished when investors worry they might not see returns that justify hundreds of billions in spending.

Alphabet is the latest example. During its Wednesday fourth quarter earnings call, CEO Sundar Pichai and chief financial officer Anat Ashkenazi revealed that the $4 trillion tech giant will spend between $175 billion to $185 billion in capex in 2026, possibly doubling the $91.4 billion it spent in 2025 and a far cry from the $52.5 billion spent as recently as 2024. In Q4 alone, Alphabet’s capex investment reached $27.9 billion.

The move is part of what Pichai described as maintaining a brutal pace to compete in AI, which is driving every single dominant player in the space—Alphabet, Anthropic, OpenAI, Meta, Microsoft, and others—to invest heavily in innovation and infrastructure in a fierce competition that shifts quarter to quarter.

“We are in a very, very relentless innovation cadence, and I think we are confident about keeping that momentum as we go through 2026,” Pichai said on the company’s Q4 earnings call Wednesday.

At the same time, when asked what keeps him up at night during the call, Pichai’s response showed his concern about the capex surge and the longer timeline needed to convert that investment into actual working data centers, to overcome power bottlenecks, increase chip manufacturing, and master the skills needed to make it all happen.

“I think specifically at this moment, maybe the top question is definitely around compute capacity [and] all the constraints—be it power, land, supply chain constraints,” Pichai said. “How do you ramp up to meet this extraordinary demand for this moment, get our investments right for the long term, and do it all in a way that we are driving efficiencies and doing it in a world-class way?”

Pichai admitted to investors that all those constraints will continue to be an issue for the Google DeepMind AI lab as well as for the company’s cloud services unit, despite the massive ramp up in spending and significant demand.

“I do expect to go through the year in a supply constrained way,” Pichai said.

Alphabet’s massive increase in AI infrastructure spending sets a new high water mark just one week after Meta stunned the Street by announcing plans to nearly double its capex to between $115 billion and $135 billion this year.

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