Broadcom’s AI Chip Growth With OpenAI Faces VMware And Valuation Risks
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Broadcom (NasdaqGS:AVGO) has secured a multi year supply agreement to provide custom AI chips to OpenAI.
The company is expanding its role as a custom AI silicon partner for hyperscalers, including Google and other large cloud providers.
At the same time, Broadcom is dealing with VMware customer churn tied to subscription changes and fresh geopolitical and regulatory risks.
Broadcom, trading at about $331.3 per share, is involved in some of the highest profile AI infrastructure build outs through its custom ASIC work with OpenAI and major cloud platforms. The stock shows a very large 3 year return and a 1 year return of 51.1%, which reflects the degree of investor focus on its role in AI and data center infrastructure.
For investors, a key tension is that Broadcom is participating in multibillion dollar AI programs with a concentrated set of hyperscaler customers, while also working through VMware related customer churn and geopolitical exposure that could affect operations. The way the company navigates opportunities in custom AI silicon alongside these risks may influence sentiment around NasdaqGS:AVGO over the medium term.
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How Broadcom stacks up against its biggest competitors
✅ Price vs Analyst Target: At US$331.30, Broadcom trades about 30% below the US$458.59 analyst price target range midpoint.
❌ Simply Wall St Valuation: Shares are flagged as trading 15.3% above estimated fair value, suggesting a valuation premium.
❌ Recent Momentum: The 30 day return is about a 4.7% decline, showing recent weakness despite the high profile AI news.
Check out Simply Wall St’s in-depth valuation analysis for Broadcom.
📊 The OpenAI and hyperscaler custom AI chip deals concentrate Broadcom further in large AI infrastructure programs, which can be a key part of the thesis.
📊 Watch the P/E of 67.9 versus the Semiconductor industry average of 41.9, the analyst target range of US$370 to US$535, and how AI related revenue contributes to the top line.
⚠️ VMware related customer churn and new geopolitical or regulatory constraints could pressure both growth optionality and Broadcom’s relatively high valuation.
For the full picture including more risks and rewards, check out the complete Broadcom analysis.