Saturday, December 27, 2025

Capex Weighs on Profit Forecast

  • Amazon beat top- and bottom-line expectations, posting 13% revenue growth and 33% growth in earnings per share.

  • Amazon Web Services (AWS) revenue grew by 17%, but that falls short of the momentum rivals reported just a day ago.

  • Amazon remains a powerful competitor with a lot of ways to win, but investors were closely scrutinizing profitability forecasts in light of continued spending on capital assets.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Amazon ›

Here’s our initial take on Amazon‘s (NASDAQ: AMZN) financial report.

Metric

Q2 2024

Q2 2025

Change

vs. Expectations

Revenue

$148.0 billion

$167.7 billion

13%

Beat

Earnings per share

$1.26

$1.68

33%

Beat

AWS revenue

$26.3 billion

$30.9 billion

17%

Met

Advertising revenue

$12.8 billion

$15.7 billion

23%

n/a

Investors had big expectations for Amazon, and in particular the company’s AWS cloud unit, following strong results from Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT). Amazon revenue and earnings were up 13% and 33%, respectively, beating expectations, and AWS sales grew by 17% to $30.9 billion.

Amazon’s release boasted about its largest Prime Day to date and new partnerships including a Nike (NYSE: NKE) storefront. But the focus was clearly on AI. CEO Andy Jassy in a statement said that “our conviction that AI will change every customer experience is starting to play out,” noting the company’s moves not just at AWS but across Alexa, robotics, and other areas.

Amazon sees more growth ahead, predicting net sales to come in between $174 billion and $179.5 billion in the current quarter. That would be up 10% to 13% from a year ago, and even at the low end is above the $173 billion consensus.

But all of that growth is coming at a price. Operating expenses in the quarter were up 11% to $148.5 billion, and free cash flow decreased to $18.2 billion for the trailing 12 months, from $53 billion a year ago. AWS’s operating margin for the quarter fell to 32.9%, from 35.5% a year ago.

Operating income in the current quarter is expected to come in between $15.5 billion and $20.5 billion. At the midpoint that suggests little growth over last year’s $17.4 billion, and is slightly below analyst expectations.

Investors were underwhelmed by the results. Amazon shares fell 3% in aftermarket trading following the release of the report but ahead of the company’s call with investors.

The AWS growth, while impressive, on a percentage basis fell short of Microsoft’s reported 34% growth at Azure. Microsoft surged post-earnings because the company successfully articulated the benefit of all of the AI spending. Investors will be eager to hear Jassy and other Amazon execs make the same case on the earnings call.

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