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Shares of Microsoft have eased off their highs in recent sessions as investors balance strong underlying demand with rising questions about AI spending, governance, and the pace of enterprise adoption.
The tone has shifted from smooth upside to a more deliberate tape as the market tests how much AI optimism is already reflected in the price.
Against that backdrop, we ran Microsoft through an AI price-prediction agent powered by OpenAI’s GPT.
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The model generated a thirty-day outlook based on recent trading action and a focused set of technical indicators. At the time of the run, Microsoft traded at $488.57. For the period from Dec. 1 through Dec. 31, the model’s base-case projection came out to:
Average predicted price: $480.25
Implied move: about 1.7% lower
Signal snapshot: MACD still in negative territory, RSI in the low-40s
The forecast is subdued. It points to a marginal pullback as momentum softens and the stock digests a stretch of heavy AI-related news. The model is not suggesting a decisive turn lower, but it indicates a near-term environment defined by consolidation rather than trend. Still, broader AI price prediction says that Microsoft could rise to $706 by 2030.
For investors looking to act on that longer-term outlook, SoFi offers a straightforward way to buy MSFT with no commissions. New users can receive up to $1,000 in stock when they fund their account, plus a 1% bonus for transferring investments and keeping them there through Dec. 31.
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The technicals support that view. MACD remains below its signal line after several weeks under zero, which typically reflects waning momentum. RSI in the low-40s shows a market that has cooled without entering oversold territory. Taken together, the indicators present a balanced, slightly cautious picture.
Microsoft’s challenge is that the fundamentals remain strong while the stock trades as though investors want clearer evidence that AI returns will meet the scale of the company’s investment.
Fiscal 2025 revenue reached about $282 billion, up roughly 15% from a year earlier. Earnings of $102 billion grew slightly faster than sales, reflecting healthy operating leverage across cloud, Office, and early Copilot monetization.
