ICE Is Turning Prediction-Market Odds Into “Signals and Sentiment” Tools for Wall Street

ICE Is Turning Prediction-Market Odds Into “Signals and Sentiment” Tools for Wall Street

Prediction-market data is moving from the fringe to the core of institutional workflows as providers begin to package it as “signals and sentiment” infrastructure for trading and risk.

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the owner of the New York Stock Exchange, has launched the
Polymarket Signals and Sentiment tool to provide normalized prediction market
data and analytics to professional and institutional investors.

ICE will act as the exclusive provider of Polymarket
data for institutional capital markets under the new service. Polymarket operates one of the largest prediction markets,
including markets that relate to financial and commodity markets.

ICE to Exclusively Distribute Polymarket Data

ICE now offers data feeds that represent Polymarket’s
implied probabilities on real-world outcomes, designed to serve as market
signals that complement traditional market, pricing, and sentiment inputs.

“As prediction markets mature, their value to
institutional investors becomes clearer,” commented Shayne Coplan, Founder and
CEO of Polymarket.

“These markets reflect collective expectations on
market-moving events in near real time and have quickly emerged as a credible
input alongside traditional data sources. Working with ICE helps ensure that
those signals can be accessed, interpreted, and applied in a way that can be
used as a resource for institutional market participants.”

Related: Propetriary Investment Firm Jump Trading to Take Stakes in Kalshi and Polymarket: Report

He added that ICE uses AI and data science to
normalize the data so customers can apply it in alpha generation and risk
management strategies.

Integrated into ICE Signals & Sentiment Suite

The Polymarket Signals and Sentiment service
aggregates and normalizes data and delivers it in a format aligned with how
institutional customers access markets and trade.

On their own, prediction-market prices are messy: different formats, tickers, and market structures. The new “signals and sentiment” model cleans and standardizes this data. Providers aggregate the markets, normalize the probabilities, and deliver them through the same feeds that already carry prices, reference data, and news.

That puts prediction-market odds on the same screen as sentiment scores from news and social media. A trading desk can see how crowd expectations, headlines, and online discussion all move around a key event.

Last year, Coplan announced that ICE has made a $2
billion investment in Polymarket, valuing the prediction-market platform at $9
billion. Under the partnership, ICE began distributing
Polymarket’s data to financial institutions worldwide, integrating crowd-based
probabilities into trading and risk workflows.

This article was written by Jared Kirui at www.financemagnates.com.

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