I’m 55 and want to retire in 10 years. How can I make sure I’m on the right track to afford it?

I’m 55 and want to retire in 10 years. How can I make sure I’m on the right track to afford it?

Saving for retirement is a long-term goal, but what happens when that goal is finally in sight? Many Americans wonder whether they’ve saved enough, and there’s no one-size-fits-all number when it comes to retirement savings.

Consider Rachel, who is 55 years old, and who wants to retire at 65. She has built up around $400,000 in her 401(k) and IRA, her home is almost paid off, and based on current estimates in her Social Security account, she can expect about $1,800 a month as a baseline.

Rachel isn’t sure whether her current savings and projected Social Security income will be enough. Here are some steps she can take in order to feel more confident about her savings goals — and what you can do to track your own financial milestones and savings plan.

The ten years before retirement are often the most important — and the most risky. At 50, a drop in the stock market can quickly wipe out years of earnings, giving you less time to recover. With fewer working years left, there’s not quite as much time to wait it out or invest more to cover the losses. That’s why this period is often called the “retirement red zone.”

“Just as a football team can’t afford to turn the ball over and fail to score points when inside the opponent’s 20-yard line, the retirement investor can’t afford a big downturn in the retirement red zone…A bad sequence of returns immediately preceding retirement can be devastating,” says Robert Johnson, chartered financial analyst and professor of finance at the Heider College of Business at Creighton University (1).

During this period, it’s important to review your retirement strategy, identify any gaps and take steps to close them or reduce your risk. The stakes are high, and the margin of error is smaller than it’s ever been.

For Rachel, the first step is to determine how much she’ll actually need in retirement. Some financial planners point to $1 million to $1.5 million as a general target, while others say you should aim to replace 70–80% of pre-retirement income (2).

For someone expecting $1,800 a month from Social Security, about $21,600 per year, the rest of their income would need to come from savings. At a conservative 4% withdrawal rate, a $400,000 portfolio would generate roughly $16,000 per year, before taxes.

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