Monday, December 22, 2025

Is Alphabet (GOOGL) Turning Its AI Breakthroughs And Clean Energy Deals Into A Durable Advantage?

  • In recent months, Alphabet’s Google has accelerated its AI and cloud push with record Q3 revenue of US$102.34 billion, strong Google Cloud growth, and the launch of its advanced Gemini 3 model alongside lower-cost Gemini 3 Flash.

  • At the same time, Google has been locking in long-term clean power deals in Malaysia, backing large-scale carbon removal projects, and advancing ventures like Waymo and quantum computing, underscoring how its AI ambitions are tied to energy, sustainability, and a widening portfolio beyond core advertising.

  • We’ll now examine how this combination of Gemini-driven AI momentum and long-term renewable power commitments affects Alphabet’s investment narrative.

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To own Alphabet, you have to believe its AI heavyweights Gemini and Google Cloud can more than offset rising capital spending and its reliance on ad dollars. The latest clean energy and carbon removal deals help de risk the power needs behind that AI build out, but they do not change the near term swing factor, which remains how quickly AI features in Search and Cloud translate into higher revenue versus mounting infrastructure costs.

The 21 year renewable power agreement with TotalEnergies in Malaysia, alongside the separate 30 megawatt solar deal in Kedah, is directly tied to Alphabet’s AI and cloud capacity expansion in Asia. These contracts matter because they underpin long lived data center investments that support Google Cloud’s AI backlog and Gemini adoption, both central to the current growth catalyst, while reinforcing that AI driven capex will stay elevated for years.

Yet even with AI momentum, investors should be aware that rising capex could squeeze margins if revenue growth slows…

Read the full narrative on Alphabet (it’s free!)

Alphabet’s narrative projects $512.6 billion revenue and $148.4 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 11.3% yearly revenue growth and roughly a $32.8 billion earnings increase from $115.6 billion today.

Uncover how Alphabet’s forecasts yield a $323.70 fair value, a 9% upside to its current price.

GOOGL 1-Year Stock Price Chart
GOOGL 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Across 191 fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community, views on Alphabet range widely from US$171 to US$340 per share. When you weigh that spread against Alphabet’s heavy AI capex plans and margin pressure risk, it is worth comparing several of those viewpoints before deciding how its growth story fits into your portfolio.

Explore 191 other fair value estimates on Alphabet – why the stock might be worth as much as 15% more than the current price!

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes – extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Alphabet research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.

  • Our free Alphabet research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual – the Snowflake – making it easy to evaluate Alphabet’s overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include GOOGL.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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