Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Is Estée Lauder (EL) Using AI Fragrance Tools To Reframe Its Luxury Beauty Advantage?

  • Earlier this month, The Estée Lauder Companies and Jo Malone London launched the Jo Malone London Scent Advisor, an AI-powered, conversational tool on JoMalone.com in the US and UK that uses Google’s Gemini and Vertex AI to replicate the brand’s in-store fragrance consultation online.

  • The launch, coming shortly after Estée Lauder opened its Fragrance Atelier in Paris, underlines how the group is pairing data-driven personalization with luxury fragrance to strengthen its position in online and experiential beauty.

  • We’ll now examine how this AI-driven Scent Advisor initiative fits into Estée Lauder’s broader push into digital personalization and luxury fragrance growth.

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To own Estée Lauder today, you need to believe the company can convert its prestige brands and global reach into a return to profitable growth, helped by higher-margin digital and fragrance sales. The Jo Malone Scent Advisor supports the digital personalization catalyst but does not materially change near term dependence on travel retail and soft Western consumer demand, which remain key swing factors for earnings volatility.

The recent Q1 2025 results, where adjusted operating income rose strongly year over year despite prior full year losses and restructuring charges, are the most relevant backdrop for this launch. Together, they highlight how management is trying to pair cost savings and portfolio resets with innovation in online discovery and luxury fragrance to support margins and justify ongoing high SG&A, even as impairment risks and high fixed costs remain in focus.

Yet against this push into AI-powered luxury fragrance, investors should still be aware of…

Read the full narrative on Estée Lauder Companies (it’s free!)

Estée Lauder Companies’ narrative projects $16.0 billion revenue and $1.4 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 3.9% yearly revenue growth and about a $2.5 billion earnings increase from $-1.1 billion today.

Uncover how Estée Lauder Companies’ forecasts yield a $102.17 fair value, a 3% downside to its current price.

EL Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025
EL Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025

Eight fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$60.66 to US$117.70, showing how differently shareholders can view Estée Lauder’s prospects. When you weigh that spread against the company’s heavy spending on restructuring and innovation, it underlines why many investors are closely watching whether new initiatives like AI personalization can support margins and a sustained earnings recovery.

Explore 8 other fair value estimates on Estée Lauder Companies – why the stock might be worth 42% less than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include EL.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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