Monday, December 29, 2025

Is Oracle Heading to $410? And Should You Keep Holding ORCL Stock Here?

Oracle’s (ORCL) shift from a legacy enterprise software company to a go-to infrastructure provider for artificial intelligence (AI) workloads has dramatically accelerated its growth trajectory. This is reflected in its financials and the handful of large AI contracts during the first quarter of fiscal 2026.

Oracle has entered fiscal 2026 with strong momentum, positioning itself as a key player in the AI space. While its first-quarter results were mixed, the company’s underlying business remains solid, with the demand for Oracle’s cloud infrastructure building at a significantly higher pace. The company now counts some of the largest names in AI and cloud space among its customers, and the scale of its recent bookings points to years of massive growth ahead, which will likely drive its share price higher.

The headline number from the quarter was Oracle’s remaining performance obligations (RPO), essentially its contracted but not-yet-recognized revenue. This figure soared to $455 billion, representing a 359% increase from last year and a $317 billion jump from just the prior quarter. To put it plainly, this is a locked-in demand that gives investors high visibility into Oracle’s future earnings power. Cloud RPO alone grew nearly 500% year over year, an acceleration from already strong growth in fiscal 2025. Notably, ORCL signed four multibillion-dollar contracts with three different customers in Q1.

Investor enthusiasm was evident in the market, with Oracle shares rising more than 40% in morning trading following the report.

www.barchart.com
www.barchart.com

Oracle’s cloud business has emerged as the company’s primary growth engine, showing solid momentum in revenue and adoption. In the first quarter, total cloud revenue rose 27% to $7.2 billion, while cloud infrastructure revenue soared 54% to $3.3 billion. Demand for Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) has been robust, climbing 57%, and management noted that it currently outpaces supply. With more multibillion-dollar deals in the pipeline, Oracle expects its RPO to exceed the half-trillion-dollar mark soon, reflecting the scale of the opportunity ahead.

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