Miami (Ohio) at UMass odds, picks and predictions

The No. 23 Miami (Ohio) Redhawks (25-0, 12-0 MAC) and the UMass Minutemen (15-11, 6-7) meet Tuesday. Tip-off from Mullins Center in Amherst, Massachusetts, is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA basketball odds around the Miami (Ohio) vs. UMass odds and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions for the best bets.

Miami held off UMass in the first meeting in Oxford Jan. 27, winning 86-84 as the Minutemen covered as 9.5-point underdogs as the Over (164.5) cashed. UMass F Leonardo Bettiol erupted for 22 points and 16 rebounds in the near-miss, while Miami F Eian Elmer was good for a game-high 30 points with 7 rebounds, 2 steals and an assist with 6 3-pointers.

The Redhawks won 90-74 against the Ohio Boobcats Friday, covering as a 7.5-point favorite as the Over (163.5) cashed. It was the second consecutive win by that exact score. The Redhawks are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 4 games, and 16-6 ATS in 22 games this season with a spread. The Over has cashed in 6 of the past 8 outings, while going 16-6 on the season.

The Minutemen have dropped 2 in a row, while allowing 89 or more points in each of the past 3 games, including a 99-92 loss at the Akron Zips Friday. UMass is 1-3 ATS in the past 4 games, and 3-7 ATS across the previous 10 outings, while going 10-3 in the past 13 contests.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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Miami (Ohio) at UMass odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:16 am. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Miami (Ohio) -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | UMass +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
• Against the spread: Miami (Ohio) -2.5 (-115) | UMass +2.5 (-105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 163.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Miami (Ohio) at UMass picks and predictions

Prediction

UMass 87, Miami (Ohio) 83

UMASS (+135) is worth a look as slight underdogs at home against the nation’s last unbeaten team. The Minutemen nearly pulled off the road upset in the first meeting 3 weeks ago. Look for UMass to exact a little revenge.

While Miami has punished the past 2 opponents by 16 points each, 4 of the past 7 victories are by 6 or fewer points, including a pair of 2-point wins. The luck runs out for the Redhawks Tuesday.

UMASS +2.5 (-105) is an OK play if you’re a little on the conservative side, and you want a little insurance against the unbeaten Redhawks. As mentioned, Miami has won 4 of the past 7 games by 6 or fewer points, including the 2-point win over UMass.

Miami is 3-1 ATS in the past 4 games, and 7-1 ATS in the past 8 true road games, so tread lightly. It won’t be easy for UMass erasing that goose egg from the loss column.

OVER 163.5 (-105) might be the best play on the board in this MAC matchup.

The Over is 6-2 in the past 8 games for Miami, and it has scored at least 85 points in 9 of the past 10 games, including the 86-84 win against UMass. The RedHawks lead the nation in scoring, averaging 92.6 point per game.

The Minutemen combined with Akron for 191 points last time out in a loss Friday, and the Over has cashed in 3 in a row, scoring 91+ in 3 in a row, while allowing at least 89 points in each of the outings. UMass averages 80.1 points a game.

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