Wednesday, January 14, 2026

Netflix Stock Has A January Superpower — And The Numbers Prove It

Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) has developed a striking seasonal pattern that traders have come to recognize: January has historically been its strongest month of the year, and by a wide margin.

Over the past two decades, Netflix shares have posted an average January gain of 14.7%, finishing the month higher in 71% of years.

That performance meaningfully outpaces both the broader S&P 500 and most large-cap technology peers over the same period, cementing January as a recurring sweet spot for the streaming giant.

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A review of January returns going back to 2005 highlights both the magnitude and consistency of the trend.

While there have been notable drawdowns—such as 2022’s 29.1% slide amid a broader growth-stock rout—the upside years have been dominant.

Standout rallies include gains of:

  • +73.5% in 2012

  • +78.5% in 2013

  • +40.8% in 2018, and

  • +26.8% in 2019.

Even in more recent years, Netflix has continued to deliver solid January performances, rising 20% in 2023, 15.9% in 2024, and 9.6% in 2025.

Year

NFLX January Return

2005

-6.73%

2006

1.81%

2007

-11.79%

2008

-5.52%

2009

20.91%

2010

13.00%

2011

21.84%

2012

73.47%

2013

78.46%

2014

11.18%

2015

29.33%

2016

-19.71%

2017

13.66%

2018

40.81%

2019

26.84%

2020

6.65%

2021

-1.54%

2022

-29.10%

2023

20.00%

2024

15.86%

2025

9.59%

Average

14.7%

% of gain

71%

Data: TradingView

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One reason starts on the couch.

Holiday viewing often peaks in late December and early January. Families gather. Streaming hours rise. Netflix dominates attention during this period.

The company typically reports fourth-quarter earnings in mid-to-late January, and historically, those reports have frequently exceeded Wall Street expectations — particularly on subscriber growth and engagement.

While not every fourth-quarter earnings report triggered a rally — notable declines occurred in 2022 and 2019 — the upside reactions from Netflix shares have historically been larger and more frequent than the downside moves.

That asymmetry has helped fuel Netflix’s January edge.

Earnings Quarter

Reporting Date

Stock Reaction (Next Day)

Q4 2015

Jan. 20, 2016

-5.00%

Q4 2016

Jan. 19, 2017

3.86%

Q4 2017

Jan. 22, 2018

9.98%

Q4 2018

Jan. 17, 2019

-3.99%

Q4 2019

Jan. 21, 2020

-3.58%

Q4 2020

Jan. 21, 2021

16.85%

Q4 2021

Jan. 20, 2022

-21.79%

Q4 2022

Jan. 19, 2023

8.46%

Q4 2023

Jan. 23, 2024

10.70%

Q4 2024

Jan. 21, 2025

9.69%

Q4 2025

Jan. 20, 2026

Pending

Data: TradingView

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