Nifty Prediction Today – February 16, 2026: Nifty 50 Futures: Resistance can cap the upside. Go short

Nifty 50 has begun the week on a weak note. It has been slightly volatile in the early trades. The index is currently trading at 25,435, down 0.14 per cent. The advances/declines ratio is at 23:27. This is negative for now. But if the trend shifts in favour of the advances, then there are chances for the Nifty to see some recovery. We will have to wait and watch.
Nifty 50 outlook
The Nifty 50 February futures (25,560) is up 0.14 per cent. Intraday resistance is in the 25,550-25,600 region which can cap the upside. As long as the index remains below 25,600, the bias will remain negative. Nifty can fall to 25,250 during the day.
A strong rise above 25,600 is needed to get some relief. Only then a corrective rise to 25,750 can be seen.
Nifty 50 futures
The intraday outlook is negative. Strong resistance is in the 25,600-25,650 region which can cap the upside. A strong break above 25,650 is needed to go up towards 25,800. But such a rise looks less likely.
The Nifty 50 February Futures contract can fall to 25,330 or even 25,250 in the coming sessions.
The region around 25,200 is a strong support. So, a fall beyond 25,200 might not be easy. As such we can expect the contract to reverse higher again from around 25,200 going forward this week.
Trade strategy
Traders can go short now at 25,560 and add more shorts at 25,620. Keep the stop-loss at 25,680 initially. Trail the stop-loss down to 25,520 as soon as the contract falls to 25,480. Revise the stop-loss down to 25,470 and 24,430 when the contract touches 25,440 and 24,410 respectively. Exit the short positions at 25,380.
Supports: 25,330, 25,250
Resistances: 25,600, 25,650
Published on February 16, 2026