Tech Query: State Bank of India (SBI), Suzlon Energy, NTPC, Sula Vineyards: What is the outlook? Where are these stocks headed? 

Date:

I have shares of State Bank of India (SBI) bought at ₹854. What is the short- and long-term outlook?

Vinod

SBI (₹816): The stock is stuck between ₹780 and ₹840 for about three months now. A decisive break above ₹840 will be very bullish to see ₹1,000-1,100 over the medium term. This rise is more likely to happen but may take some time. Strong support is at ₹710 which can limit the downside if the stock declines below ₹780. The rise to ₹1,000-1,100 will be negated only if SBI declines below ₹710, in which case a fall to ₹630 is possible.

But such a fall looks less likely. Hold the stock. Accumulate at ₹740 if a fall happens. Keep a stop-loss at ₹690. Move the stop-loss up to ₹820 when the price goes up to ₹880. Revise the stop-loss higher to ₹900 and ₹980 when the price touches ₹960 and ₹1,040 respectively. Exit the stock at ₹1,100.

I have bought Suzlon Energy shares at ₹65. Should I continue to hold or exit?

Manjunatha

Suzlon Energy (₹58.50): The stock has been coming down since June this year. That keeps intact the broader downtrend that is in place since September last year. Key support is at ₹55. A break below it can take the stock down to ₹47. In case the price falls below ₹47, there is a danger of it tumbling to ₹35-33 as well.

Ideally the stock has to breach ₹70 to turn the outlook bullish and rise back to ₹80-85 again. This might take a long time as the short-term bias is negative on the charts. So, the fall to ₹55 or ₹47 is more likely to happen first from here. As such it is better to exit the stock now with minimal loss rather than waiting with a hope for a reversal.

What is the short-term outlook for NTPC?

Ashish Pathrabe

NTPC (₹337): The trend is down since October last year. However, the short-term outlook is unclear. The stock is stuck between ₹320 and ₹345 for more than two months now. Resistance is at ₹365, and support is at ₹295. So, ₹295-365 will be the broad trading range within which the stock can oscillate. Within this range, the stock can go either way from current levels.

A breakout on either side of these two levels will decide the next move. A break above ₹365 will be bullish to see ₹450 and higher levels. On the other hand, a break below ₹295 will be bearish to see ₹260-250. Stay out of this stock for now rather than getting stuck on the wrong side. Trades can be taken in the direction of the ₹295-₹365 range breakout.

I have Sula Vineyards shares. My average purchase price is ₹400. I am a long-term investor.

Vimal Wilson

Sula Vineyards (₹267.45): The stock is in a strong downtrend since the last week of January last year. This downtrend is very much intact and there is no sign of a bullish reversal. Resistances are at ₹288 and ₹330. The stock has to rise above ₹330 in order to indicate a bullish trend reversal. Only then a rise to ₹450 and ₹500 will come into the picture.

Immediate support is at ₹240. A break below it can drag Sula Vineyard share price down to ₹160 and even lower. So, exit the stock and accept the loss. It is very important to have a stop-loss in place at the time of entering itself. We have insisted this many times in this column. That will aid in minimising the loss if the view goes wrong.

Send your questions to techtrail@thehindu.co.in

Published on August 23, 2025

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