Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Truist Sees Long-Term Upside for Home Depot (HD) Amid Tight Housing Supply

The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD) is included among the 12 Best Income Stocks to Buy Now.

Truist Sees Long-Term Upside for Home Depot (HD) Amid Tight Housing Supply
Truist Sees Long-Term Upside for Home Depot (HD) Amid Tight Housing Supply

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On December 17, Truist raised its price target on The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD) to $390 from $375 and kept a Buy rating. The call came as part of a broader research note looking ahead to 2026 for Hardlines and Broadlines consumer names. The analyst said some slowing trends in the second half of FY25 are likely to keep consumers selective. Shoppers are expected to stay focused on “Value,” choosing where and how they spend. For Home Depot, Truist pointed to a large pool of untapped demand. More than $35 trillion of home equity is effectively sitting on the sidelines. With recent rate cuts, homeowners now have meaningful “dry powder” to put back into their homes. As long as existing home supply stays tight and prices remain flat to slightly higher, the firm said it remains bullish on the home improvement category.

That optimism sits alongside near-term caution. On December 9, The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD) forecast fiscal 2026 comparable sales growth and profit below analysts’ expectations. Demand for do-it-yourself projects and big-ticket purchases has cooled.

Management acknowledged the uncertainty. Customers are feeling uneasy, and that mindset is expected to carry into next year. “We have not yet seen a catalyst or an inflection in housing activity,” finance chief Richard McPhail said on an investor conference call. US housing demand has been uneven, pressured by rising unemployment and still-elevated home prices. Even as interest and mortgage rates ease, a clear recovery has not followed. In its latest earnings report, the company projected a steeper drop in fiscal 2025 profit.

Retailers such as The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD) are seeing consumers pull back on expensive renovations and large projects as borrowing costs stay high. Looking ahead, the company expects fiscal 2026 same-store sales to range from flat to 2%. That trails the 2.34% average estimate from analysts, based on LSEG data. The company also guided for adjusted EPS growth of flat to 4%, compared with expectations for a 5.6% increase.

While we acknowledge the potential of HD as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you’re looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock.

READ NEXT: 14 Best Pharma Dividend Stocks to Buy in 2026 and 20 Best Performing Dividend Stocks in 2025

Disclosure: None.

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