Tsitsipas vs. Andrey Rublev Prediction, Odds to Win Qatar ExxonMobil Open

Data Skrive
Feb. 18, 2026Updated Feb. 19, 2026, 6:35 a.m. ET
In the quarterfinals at the Qatar ExxonMobil Open on Thursday, Stefanos Tsitsipas (ranked No. 33) meets Andrey Rublev (No. 14).
Rublev is the favorite (-150) in this match against Tsitsipas (+115).
Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 6:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Andrey Rublev matchup info
- Tournament: Qatar ExxonMobil Open
- Round: Quarterfinal
- Date: Thursday, February 19
- Court Surface: Hard
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Tsitsipas vs. Rublev Prediction
Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Tsitsipas has a 60.0% to win.
Tsitsipas vs. Rublev Betting Odds
- Tsitsipas’ odds to win match: +115
- Rublev’s odds to win match: -150
- Tsitsipas’ odds to win tournament: +2500
- Rublev’s odds to win tournament: +2200
Tsitsipas vs. Rublev matchup performance & stats
- On hard courts over the past 12 months, Tsitsipas has won one tournament, and his record is 12-9.
- Tsitsipas has won 82.8% of his service games on hard courts and 21.4% of his return games over the past 12 months.
- Tsitsipas has converted 50 of 155 break points on hard courts (32.3%) over the past year and is 86th in break points won.
- Tsitsipas was defeated in the Round of 16 of his last tournament (the ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament) 4-6, 6-7 by No. 65-ranked Botic Van de Zandschulp on February 12.
- Rublev has gone 21-15 in 16 tournaments on hard courts over the past year, and he has won one title.
- Rublev has an 81.4% winning percentage in service games on hard courts, and a 22.8% winning percentage in return games.
- On hard courts Rublev ranks 17th in break point winning percentage (36.6%) after going 96-for-262.
- In the Australian Open, Rublev’s last tournament, he clashed with No. 21-ranked Francisco Cerundolo in the Round of 32 on January 23 and lost 3-6, 6-7, 3-6.
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