Are Wall Street Analysts Predicting AutoZone Stock Will Climb or Sink?

AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) has been in the business of keeping cars on the road since 1979. The Memphis, Tennessee-based retailer and distributor of automotive parts and accessories has built its entire operation around covering virtually every mechanical need for cars, SUVs, vans, and light trucks. With a market cap ofย nearly $51.1 billion, AutoZone also runs…


Are Wall Street Analysts Predicting AutoZone Stock Will Climb or Sink?

AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) has been in the business of keeping cars on the road since 1979. The Memphis, Tennessee-based retailer and distributor of automotive parts and accessories has built its entire operation around covering virtually every mechanical need for cars, SUVs, vans, and light trucks.

With a market cap ofย nearly $51.1 billion, AutoZone also runs a commercial program that extends credit and delivers parts directly to repair shops, markets diagnostic and shop management software through its ALLDATA brand and pushes its own Duralast product line in a serious way.

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However, the numbers on AutoZoneโ€™s price performance over the past year tell a story of persistent underperformance. The stockย has fallen 18.1% over the last 52 weeks and is sitting 10.7% in the red year-to-date (YTD).

Meanwhile, the broader market has been in an entirely different league during both periods. The S&P 500 Index ($SPX)ย climbed 27% over the last 52 weeks and has added 9.9% so far in 2026.

Even at the sector level, AZO stock has struggled to keep pace. The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) has outrun AZO stock as well,ย gaining 12.1% over the last 52 weeks and rising 1.8% in 2026.

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On May 26, AutoZone shares took aย nearly 9% hit after the company posted its Q3 2026 results, which fell short of Wall Street expectations and overshadowed a stronger-than-expected profit. Revenue grew 8.4% year over year to $4.84 billion but narrowly missed theย analyst forecast of $4.87 billion.

The miss, however, barely moves the needle when weighed against 8.4% growth and solid margin performance. Store count expansion across the U.S., Mexico, and Brazil powered the topline momentum forward, with aย 3.9% systemwide comparable sales figure compounding the gains and painting a healthier operational picture than the headline drop suggests.

The margin story landed lighter than feared too, with operating profit climbing approximately 6.5% year over year and EPS of $38.07 running well ahead of the Streetโ€™s $36.17 forecast. It seems as if AZO stock is working through aย much-needed price correction right now, and for investors willing to play the long game, the correction is quietly building what could shape up to be a generational buying opportunity.

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