Only 2 of These 5 Nuclear Stocks Sell Fuel Today. Here’s What the Market Pays for the Other 3.

Five stocks carry most of the market’s nuclear enthusiasm: Cameco (NYSE: CCJ), Centrus Energy (NYSE: LEU), Oklo (NYSE: OKLO), NuScale Power (NYSE: SMR), and Nano Nuclear Energy (NASDAQ: NNE). Only two of them sell nuclear fuel today. The other three sell something different — a construction timeline. These growth stocks have repriced hard this year.…


Only 2 of These 5 Nuclear Stocks Sell Fuel Today. Here’s What the Market Pays for the Other 3.

Five stocks carry most of the market’s nuclear enthusiasm: Cameco (NYSE: CCJ), Centrus Energy (NYSE: LEU), Oklo (NYSE: OKLO), NuScale Power (NYSE: SMR), and Nano Nuclear Energy (NASDAQ: NNE). Only two of them sell nuclear fuel today. The other three sell something different — a construction timeline.

These growth stocks have repriced hard this year. NuScale trades about 83% below its 52-week high as of this writing, Oklo about 77% below its own, and Nano Nuclear about 70% down from its peak. Even Cameco, arguably the steadiest of the five, sits about 29% below its high.

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But the sell-off hasn’t changed what the three developers are. They remain pre-commercial companies whose combined market value still runs to about $12 billion.

So what is the market actually paying for?

The Nuscale logo on a smartphone with stock charts in the background.
Image source: Getty Images.

The two that sell fuel today

Cameco is the closest thing the group has to an ordinary business. The uranium giant booked about $2.5 billion in revenue over the trailing 12 months and carries a market value of about $41 billion.

The company’s second-quarter results came in below last year’s, with difficult spring road conditions in northern Saskatchewan and temporary disruptions at two of its operations weighing on uranium production. Management still raised its full-year outlook for realized uranium prices and revenue, pointing to improving market conditions. It even pays a small dividend, with a yield under 1%.

Centrus is smaller but, to me, more interesting for the advanced-reactor story. The company sells enriched uranium to nuclear utilities, generating about $474 million in trailing-12-month revenue against a market value of about $3.6 billion. It also operates America’s first facility licensed to produce high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU). That’s the fuel most advanced reactor designs, including Oklo’s, are counting on.

In other words, whatever happens to the reactor developers, these two get paid when nuclear fuel changes hands. The market prices them accordingly. Cameco trades at about 17 times trailing sales, and Centrus at close to 8 times.

The three selling a timeline

Oklo, NuScale, and Nano Nuclear are a different kind of company. Their combined market value is about $12 billion. Their combined revenue over the past 12 months is roughly $12 million — about a thousand dollars of market value for every dollar of sales.

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