REalloys (NASDAQ: ALOY) has signed an agreement to secure supply from one of the highest-grade rare earth deposits in the United States, with just nine months remaining before U.S. defense rules force the removal of Chinese material from the supply chain.
The memorandum of understanding with U.S. Critical Materials Corp. gives REalloys access to up to 10% of production from the Sheep Creek project in Montana, with confirmed dysprosium, terbium, yttrium, and NdPr, the rare earth elements used in high-performance magnets for fighter aircraft, missile guidance systems, radar platforms, and other advanced defense hardware.
REalloys will convert rare earth oxides into metals and magnet-grade alloys, and is building one of the only integrated manufacturing platform in North America capable of producing heavy rare earth metals at an industrial scale.
The Sheep Creek agreement adds a domestic source of dysprosium and terbium into that system, reducing reliance on foreign feedstock and tightening control over a supply chain that does not yet exist at scale inside the United States.
The timeline is tight. As of January 2027, rare earth materials of Chinese origin will be banned from use in American military defense systems. That deadline looms large; not only because of a raging conflict in the Middle East that is consuming multitudes of weapons that depend on rare earth metals, but because these magnet-grade alloys are where the U.S. supply chain completely breaks down.
โMetallization is one of the least developed parts of the value chain outside China,โ REalloys co-founder Tim Johnston said previously. โEven with strong execution and capital, you are looking at a multi-year timeline to build that capability.โ
THE LOOMING GAP IN AMERICAN DEFENSE
While rare earth elements themselves arenโt actually that rare, with deposits across North America, Europe, and Australia, downstream is a more serious bottleneck.
โRare earth elements are relatively widespread geologically; what is scarce is the industrial capability to economically separate them into high-purity oxides and then convert them into metals and alloys at scale,โ REAlloys co-founder Tim Johnston explained in an interview with Oilprice.
China controls the vast majority of global rare earth processing and metallization capacity. While mining operations exist around the world, the conversion of those materials into finished metals and magnets has remained heavily concentrated within Chinaโs industrial ecosystem.
Thatโs where we hit the critical chokepoint.
โIf China said weโre not going to give you rare earths,โ said Saskatchewan Research Council CEO Mike Crabtree in a separate interview, โthat means no F-35s, no missiles.โ
Washington is moving fast, now, to secure this supply chain for American defense.
The Defense Logistics Agency recently awarded a contract to Terves LLC, whose technology is now part of the REAlloys platform, to advance metallothermal production of samarium and gadolinium metals. The project includes engineering design work for a modular facility capable of producing roughly 300 tons per year, a structure intended to be replicated as demand expands.
Federal financing channels are opening at the same time. The Export-Import Bank of the United States has issued a letter of interest for up to $200 million tied to rare earth processing expansion connected to the REAlloys platform, signaling potential large-scale backing for domestic midstream and metallization capacity.
Now, REalloys is moving ahead with its commercial-scale heavy rare earth metallization facility for a fully allied, zero-China supply chain for defense-critical materials, and in 2027.
The Big Defense Names Behind It All
Earlier this week, REalloys brought in Joe Kasper, former Chief of Staff to the U.S. Secretary of Defense, adding a senior Pentagon supply chain official to its advisory board.
He joins General Jack Keane, former Vice Chief of Staff of the U.S. Army, and Stephen duMont, president of GM Defense.
This is not a typical advisory group. These are people who know defense procurement really well, and have led the programs that decide who gets qualified, who gets funded, and who actually supplies material into weapons systems.
Behind that layer is an operating platform already producing material.
REalloys will run metallization out of Euclid, Ohio, converting rare earth oxides into finished metals and magnet-grade alloys, the form required by defense contractors. That step remains limited in the United States.
The rest of the system is already connected. The Saskatchewan Research Council will produce separated oxides in Canada (first commercial production expected by the end 2026/ early 2027). Those materials move to Ohio, where they are converted into metals and alloys, creating a mine-to-metal chain aligned with U.S. procurement requirements.
REalloys (NASDAQ: ALOY) has secured most of that flow. The company holds offtake on roughly 80% of SRCโs output, giving it control over one of the few non-Chinese streams of heavy rare earth supply.
Phase 1 targets roughly 525 tonnes per year of NdPr metal, with dysprosium and terbium feeding through the same system. Phase 2 expands that to about 3,000 tonnes of NdPr metal, 200 tonnes of dysprosium metal, 45 tonnes of terbium metal, and roughly 20,000 tonnes of finished magnets.
WAR IS MOVING FASTER THAN THE SUPPLY CHAIN
The cost of the Iran conflict reached $11.3 billion by day six and $16.5 billion by day 12, with a large share tied to precision-guided munitions. Theyโre blowing through weapons systems run on rare earth metals. And at the same time, pressure is building on the supply side.
That burn rate runs straight through contractors like Raytheon (NYSE: RTX), where missile systems such as Patriot and AMRAAM rely on rare earth-dependent guidance and control systems. These arenโt stockpiled inputs you can easily replenish. Once inventories tighten, production lines begin to feel it almost immediately.
And at the same time, pressure is building on the supply side.
Recent reporting from Reuters and coverage in Asian media point to tightening availability of key rare earth materials, with some defense-linked inventories potentially measured in months if disruptions deepen. These materials sit inside missile guidance systems, drones, radar, and fighter aircraft electronics.
โYou canโt fight a 21st-century war with twentieth-century supply chains,โ said Lipi Sternheim, CEO of REalloys. โModern weapons rely on materials that are difficult to source, difficult to process, and difficult to replace once inventories begin to tighten.โ
And the West is already paying a premium, with European buyers already paying 2-3X more for usable material than the prices quoted inside China. Supply is limited, buyers step in only when they have no choice, and transactions are clearing at elevated levels, while Chinaโs domestic market remains controlled.
And it doesnโt stop at missiles and fighter jets.
Across the broader industrial base, companies like General Electric (NYSE: GE), through its aerospace division, are scaling production of jet engines and avionics systems that rely on the same class of rare earth materials for high-performance components. The overlap between commercial aviation recovery and defense demand is tightening the same supply pool from multiple directions.
That convergence matters. It means rare earth constraints are not just isolated to defense procurement – they are a shared bottleneck across critical manufacturing systems.
REalloys is stepping into this critical setup with a fully funded commercial buildout of the most challenging part of Americaโs rare earths metals supply chain, and itโs got the Whoโs Who of defense behind it, along with Pentagon contracts and a looming deadline that gives defense contractors no choice but to buy American.
By. Charles Kennedy
The AI boom is triggering an unexpected and unprecedented bull run in natural gas and powerย stocks. If you aren’t paying attention to the energy demands of data centers, you will miss the biggest energy story of the decade. The smart money is already quietly moving into the few companies prepared to power the trillion-dollar AI machine.
Oilprice Intelligence brings you the inside view on where the next gains will come from, breaking down the market’s biggest growth driver with analysis from veteran oilmen and experts. Click here to get this crucial intel for free
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
This publication contains forward-looking statements, including statements regarding expected continual growth of the featured companies and/or industry. The Publisher notes that statements contained herein that look forward in time, which include everything other than historical information, involve risks and uncertainties that may affect the companiesโ actual results of operations. Factors that could cause actual results to differ include, but are not limited to, changing governmental laws and policies concerning, among other things, recreational and medical cannabis sales, success of the companyโs proprietary technology, the size and growth of the market for the companyโs products and services, the companyโs ability to fund its capital requirements in the near term and long term, pricing pressures, etc.
IMPORTANT NOTICE AND DISCLAIMER
Neither the author nor the publisher, Oilprice.com, was paid to publish this communication concerning REalloys (NASDAQ: ALOY). The owner of Oilprice.com owns shares and/or stock options of the featured company and therefore has an incentive to see the featured companyโs stock perform well. The owner of Oilprice.com may buy or sell shares of the featured company at any time including at or near the time you receive this communication. This share ownership should be viewed as a major conflict with our ability to be unbiased. This is why we stress that you conduct extensive due diligence as well as seek the advice of your financial advisor or a registered broker-dealer before investing in any securities.
This communication is not, and should not be construed to be, an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Neither this communication nor the Publisher purport to provide a complete analysis of any company or its financial position. The Publisher is not, and does not purport to be, a broker-dealer or registered investment adviser. This communication is not, and should not be construed to be, personalized investment advice directed to or appropriate for any particular investor. Any investment should be made only after consulting a professional investment advisor and only after reviewing the financial statements and other pertinent corporate information about the company. Further, readers are advised to read and carefully consider the Risk Factors identified and discussed in the advertised companyโs SEC, SEDAR and/or other government filings. Investing in securities is speculative and carries a high degree of risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This communication is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. The information on which it is based is believed to be reliable. Nevertheless, the Publisher cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information.
INDEMNIFICATION/RELEASE OF LIABILITY
By reading this communication, you acknowledge that you have read and understand this disclaimer, and further that to the greatest extent permitted under law, you release the Publisher, its affiliates, assigns and successors from any and all liability, damages, and injury from this communication. You further warrant that you are solely responsible for any financial outcome that may come from your investment decisions.
TERMS OF USE
By reading this communication you agree that you have reviewed and fully agree to the Terms of Use found here If you do not agree to the Terms of Use , please contact Oilprice.com to discontinue receiving future communications.
INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY
Oilprice.com is the Publisherโs trademark. All other trademarks used in this communication are the property of their respective trademark holders. The Publisher is not affiliated, connected, or associated with, and is not sponsored, approved, or originated by, the trademark holders unless otherwise stated. No claim is made by the Publisher to any rights in any third-party trademarks.
Oilprice Intelligence brings you the signals before they become front-page news. This is the same expert analysis read by veteran traders and political advisors. Get it free, twice a week, and you’ll always know why the market is moving before everyone else.
You get the geopolitical intelligence, the hidden inventory data, and the market whispers that move billions – and we’ll send you $389 in premium energy intelligence, on us, just for subscribing. Join 400,000+ readers today. Get access immediately by clicking here.