The US only added roughly half of what economists had forecast — what it means for you

Shyamal M Majmundar / Shutterstock Moneywise and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue through links in the content below. The US economy added just 57,000 jobs in June, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported (1), less than half the 115,000 that economists polled by Dow Jones had penciled in. The unemployment rate ticked…


The US only added roughly half of what economists had forecast — what it means for you
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The US economy added just 57,000 jobs in June, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported (1), less than half the 115,000 that economists polled by Dow Jones had penciled in. The unemployment rate ticked down ever so slightly to 4.2% from 4.3% — but not for the reason anyone wants.

The report was pushed up a day early from its usual Friday slot because of the Independence Day holiday. Markets, oddly, cheered the news (2). The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed about 246 points, or 0.5%, by about 10 a.m. ET, while the S&P 500 added 0.4%. Beaten-down chip stocks bounced.

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If you’re wondering why a disappointing jobs report would actually boost stocks, a cooling labor market essentially takes pressure off the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and cheaper money tends to be good for said stocks.

To be clear, payroll growth of 57,000 is anemic by any recent standard, but it’s still roughly in line with the average monthly gain of 36,000 over the past 12 months. The bigger story is buried (3) in the revisions and the participation rate.

The unemployment rate fell for the wrong reason

A falling jobless rate normally signals a healthy market: more people finding work. But that’s not the case this time. The labor force participation rate (4), which measures the share of Americans either working or actively looking, dropped 0.3 percentage points to 61.5%. When people stop searching for a job, they no longer count as unemployed, which mechanically pushes the rate down. The employment-population ratio (5) slipped too, to 59.0%. Fewer people working, fewer people looking (6) — that’s what’s behind the “improvement.”

Revisions told a similar story. The BLS cut April’s gain by 31,000 (to 148,000) and May’s by 43,000 (to 129,000), erasing 74,000 jobs that had previously been reported.

Downward revisions of this size are a classic late-cycle tell: the first estimates flatter the economy, and the truer, weaker number arrives a month or two later. It’s a pattern that dogged the labor market through much of 2024, when repeated revisions steadily chipped away at what looked like solid hiring.

That said, not every sector sagged. Professional and business services led with 36,000 jobs, having added 172,000 since a recent low in October 2025. Social assistance chipped in 25,000, and health care added 22,000, though that was slower than its 38,000 monthly average over the past year.

The clear loser was leisure and hospitality, which shed 61,000 jobs. The BLS blamed it on “weaker than usual seasonal hiring,” but that’s a big ole miss for an industry that typically staffs up heading into summer.

Read More: Millionaires under 43 hold only 25% of their wealth in stocks. Here’s where their money is actually going

What it means for the Fed and your wallet

All of this news is landing on the desk of new Fed chair Kevin Warsh, who took over the central bank in May, succeeding Jerome Powell. President Trump repeatedly attacked Powell during his time as Fed chair for not cutting rates faster.

Warsh was expected to be dovish, but instead, with inflation at a three-year high (7), he’s leaned hawkish. At his first meeting in June, the FOMC voted unanimously (8) to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75% — its level since the last cut in December 2025 — but the committee’s “dot plot” (9) showed most members leaning toward hikes this year rather than cuts.

After the data in this soft jobs report, the two-year Treasury yield — the maturity most sensitive to Fed policy — fell (2), and traders read the print as easing near-term pressure to hike. The next decision comes at the July 28–29 FOMC meeting (10), which will be Warsh’s second as chair.

The catch for households is that a cooler labor market hasn’t brought any kind of relief on prices. Average hourly earnings rose 0.3% in June to $37.64, up 3.5% over the year. But May inflation ran at 4.2% (11), the biggest annual increase since April 2023, lifted largely by energy costs tied to the Iran conflict. For the second straight month (7), prices outpaced paychecks, meaning workers’ real wages shrank even as the headline says they got a raise.

Warsh, for his part, has left little doubt about where his focus sits. In late June, at a central banking forum in Portugal, he said (12): “We’ve all looked around, and we’ve seen that prices are too high.”

Start by paying down debt

If it feels like your monthly budget isn’t stretching as far as it used to, you aren’t imagining things.

What happens at the Federal Reserve can hit your wallet, and fast. Because inflation is currently at a three-year high, hopes for a near-term rate cut have largely evaporated, suggesting that borrowing costs will remain elevated.

For millions of Americans already carrying expensive debt, that can cause massive financial headwinds. The average credit card APR hit a staggering 25.16% recently, according to Forbes Advisor’s weekly credit card rates report (13). And total U.S. credit card debt ballooned to a record $1.25 trillion in the first quarter of 2026 (14).

When rates are this high, your monthly payments might start to cover just the interest, leaving your actual balance untouched.

If you are juggling multiple cards or other high-rate loans, the debt can become harder to manage as the charges keep piling up. Traditional debt repayment strategies include the avalanche and snowball methods, where you knock off your debts from either most costly to least costly, or vice versa. However, that’s not the only option.

You can combine multiple balances into a single personal loan through platforms like Credible. This way, instead of juggling multiple monthly payments, you’ll have one predictable payment to manage each month.

You can find personal loans starting at 5.96% APR. Credible also offers a best rate guarantee — and if you close with a better rate than you prequalify for on the platform, you could get a $200 gift card.

If you owe a substantial amount, you may also want to see if you qualify for a debt relief program to help clear a significant portion of your debt.

With Freedom Debt Relief, you can speak with a certified debt relief consultant for free, who can show you how much you can save by partnering with them.

If you’re eligible, they can negotiate settlements with your creditors until all of your enrolled debt is resolved.

Build an emergency fund

As inflation continues to keep many Americans on edge, it may be worth revisiting a basic piece of financial advice — save for emergencies first.

An emergency fund is designed to help you weather life’s surprises without scrambling for expensive debt. Financial planners have long recommended setting aside three to six months’ worth of essential expenses, which can provide breathing room during a job loss, health emergency or other unexpected setback.

Building that cash cushion doesn’t mean you should let it sit idle in a zero-interest checking account. The trick is keeping that money highly accessible while still letting it work for you.

Once you’ve built that safety net, the next question is where to keep it. Parking the money in a low-interest checking account may be convenient, but it can also erode your purchasing power thanks to sticky inflation.

A high-yield account like a Wealthfront Cash Account can be a great place to grow your uninvested cash, offering both competitive interest rates and easy access to your money when you need it.

A Wealthfront Cash Account currently offers a base APY of 3.30% through program banks, and new clients can get an extra 0.75% boost during their first three months on up to $150,000 for a total variable APY of 4.05%.

That’s ten times the national deposit savings rate, according to the FDIC’s May report.

Additionally, Wealthfront is offering new clients who enable direct deposit ($1,000/mo minimum) to their Cash Account and open and fund a new investment account an additional 0.25% APY increase with no expiration date or balance limit, meaning your APY could be as high as 4.30%.

With no minimum balances or account fees, as well as 24/7 withdrawals and free domestic wire transfers, your funds remain accessible at all times. Plus, you get access to up to $8M FDIC Insurance eligibility through program banks.

Make your extra savings work for you

For households with disposable income, inflation creates a different problem than simply covering monthly bills. The question becomes how to keep extra cash from losing value over time. A high-yield savings account can be useful, but you may want to put a portion of your excess savings into assets that have the potential to outpace inflation.

That doesn’t mean chasing the hottest trend on the market. Instead, many financial professionals emphasize investments that can generate income while also offering the possibility of long-term growth.

For example, the Arrived Real Estate Income Fund is designed to generate regular dividend income while focusing on capital preservation.

The fund already manages more than $83 million in assets and has historically delivered an annualized cash yield of more than 8.1%. To put this in perspective, even the “aristocrats” of dividend stocks struggle to reach a high-water mark of 5.51%, according to Morningstar (15).

How it works is simple: Arrived offers short-term loans for professional real estate projects seeking to renovate, refinance or fund new construction. Each loan goes through a disciplined selection process and is backed by residential real estate, adding another layer of underwriting rigor and downside protection.

Even better, Arrived Real Estate Income Fund investors also have quarterly liquidity options beginning six months after their initial investment, offering more flexibility than many traditional income-focused investments.

Diversify with an inflation-proof asset

When inflation sticks around and markets become unpredictable, consider looking for assets that have historically held their value.

Gold has long been viewed as a financial safe haven. Unlike fiat currencies, the precious metal isn’t tied to any single country, currency, or economy. Investors often flock to it during periods of economic stress or geopolitical uncertainty — pushing prices higher. Gold prices have more than doubled over the past five years, hitting multiple record highs along the way and outpacing the S&P 500 over the same period.

Today, you can combine the recession-resistant properties of the precious metal with the tax advantages of an IRA by opening a gold IRA with the help of Priority Gold. For investors concerned about inflation or economic instability, it’s one way to add a layer of protection to your retirement savings.

And with Priority Gold’s platinum package, you can even get free account setup and insured shipping and storage for up to five years. Plus, you can also roll over your existing IRA or 401(k) into a precious metals IRA with Priority Gold — tax and penalty-free.

The best part? You can download Priority Gold’s wealth preservation guide for free and get up to $10,000 in complimentary silver upon making a qualifying purchase.

— With files from Dave Smith

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We rely only on vetted sources and credible third-party reporting. For details, see our ethics and guidelines.

BLS (1), (3); CNBC (2), (11); FRED St. Louis Fed (4), (5); CEPR (6); NPR (7); Chase (8); Federal Reserve (9), (10); Yahoo Finance (12); Forbes (13); Federal Reserve Bank of New York (14); Morningstar (15)

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